View from Silicon Valley
ABSJ
Home
Santa Clara Co. median (updated Aug16)
San Mateo Co. median
Santa Cruz Co. median
Santa Clara Co. stats (updated Jul15)
SEMI B:B to Apr'08 (updated Jul28)
SIA Data '04 -Jun'08 (updated Aug15)
Wafer area vs.SIA$ 4Q07(updated Jun21)
VC Funding -4Q07 (updated Apr27)
SV Stats (Updated!)
Links
About Us

Sample report:

August 12, 2004

View from Silicon Valley- ABSJ

© View from Silicon Valley, 2004.  All rights reserved.


Poor San Jose.  San Jose wants to be famous.   San Jose pines for the prestige they think should be associated with being the 10th largest city in the USA.   San Jose wants everybody to "know the way."

With Cisco and eBay as prime tenants, San Jose wants recognition as "The heart of Silicon Valley."  At the very least, San Jose wants sympathy for otherwise being the "bedroom community" for tech firms in Mountain View, Sunnyvale, Cupertino, Palo Alto, Santa Clara, etc.

The real bottom line is San Jose wants to attract more businesses.  The California tax code recycles payroll and property taxes into the municipalities from which they are  collected.  "Bedroom communities" like San Jose are stuck living on sales and residential real estate tax but paying all the social services overhead avoided by cities whose workers commute in from San Jose.

To be fair, San Jose's last three budget years are not pretty:

Year          2002-03  2003-04  2004-05
Budget       $888M    $850M    $725M
Revenue     $808M    $765M    $650M
Shortfall      $80M      $85M      $70M
%                 9%        10%          9%
 
For comparison, look at Palo Alto, home of Hewlett-Packard:

Year          2002-03  2003-04   2004-05
Budget     $125.9M  $120.7M  $126.3M
Revenue   $126.2M  $121.2M  $126.3M
Surplus       $259K      $513K    $492K*

*- Palo Alto shows ~$500K surplus in 2004-05 since the UNDER spent their 2003-04 budget by ~$500K

Editor's note: 55,598 Palo Alto residents led to ~$2,272 dollars in the budget per resident.  San Jose's current 894,943 residents lead to ~$810 budget/ resident.  So, yes, San Jose does have a point. Nobody can be a hero in these circumstances.

San Jose believes having more businesses located within the city limits would smooth out their revenue stream.  Yet, San Jose repeatedly shoots itself in the foot in their efforts to attract new businesses.  A short list of San Jose recent economic "developments" includes:

-Mayor Ron Gonzalez supports Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger despite the governor rolling back the VLF reinstatement, costing the city ~$56M in the current budget year.

-Building a new $388M, and counting, (#) city hall to house 1,800 employees even though the city was loaded with empty commercial real estate when the project was approved-- much of which is still empty today, three years later!

-Repeated hearings and "studies" on requiring a "living wage" on all city-approved, not to mention city-financed, construction projects.

-The city council again refused to re-zone a large industrial site to residential, despite a decades-long cry for more housing.  It's not like Intel or eBay will ever use the site...

-Publicly hammering a contractor for refusing to submit to after-the-fact micromanagement of where the workers they hired lived and how much they were paid.  (The contractor said they would have submitted to the scrutiny-- if only they had been asked prior to the press conferences denouncing them.)

-Instituting a new per-line telephone tax, earmarking the expected $10M for "911" services.   Ironically, Cisco has switched exclusively to IP phones, completely avoiding phone lines (and now this new tax). Even more ironic is the city itself will soon follow suit.

-San Jose made a big show of awarding $8M to Cisco in a recent IT acquisition for the new city hall.  Unfortunately, it turns out the city  let Cisco write the specs.  The scandal came to light only because Cisco's own lawyers "outed" the parties involved.(*)

It should come as no surprise the local business community has their own acronym for locat\ion /re-location planning: ABSJ  ("Anywhere But San Jose")

However, since the mayor is expected to run for higher office after his term expires.  (He officially denies any such plans.)  Maybe he can be forgiven for playing politics with conflicting policy programs.  Doing something, even if ineffective or counter-productive, gives the appearance of action. 

San Jose's 2004-05 budget brief (**),  on the one hand, admits, ”Stagnant revenue performance, coupled with the job losses and a continuing relatively high unemployment rate in Silicon Valley, provide little evidence that the local economy is on the verge of a significant recovery.”  (There are valid reasons why Silicon Valley workers are currently the most pessimistic in the nation(##).)

Followed by "the Proposed Budget presumes that the city will continue to face a sluggish economy through 2004-05 and the economically sensitive revenues have been programmed with flat or only slight growth."

Right away, longtime readers will marvel at the admission of anything other than "optimism" from a Silicon Valley business leader or politician.  Did this person miss the memo?

San Jose's 2004-2005 Proposed Operating Budget has a "$69.8 million funding gap in the City’s General Fund."  San Jose’s "fix" is explained in with:

General Fund Budget Balancing Plan
SOURCE OF FUNDS (In $000s)
2004-2005 Future Deficit Reserve (One-Time) 10,000
Cardroom Revenue (One-Time)                       6,250
Emergency Response Fee                           10,000
Business Information Management System     1,450
Sale of Surplus Property                                1,000
Transfer from Other Funds                             6,538
Miscellaneous                                              6,603
Total Revenue & Reserve Solutions               41,841

USE OF FUNDS
Position Eliminations/Efficiencies                (15,880)*
Non-Personal/Equipment Reductions            (5,295)
Funding Shifts                                            (3,192)
Mayor, City Council and Appointees             (2,543)
Use of Reserves (Committed Adds)              (1,753)
Management Pay Increases/PDP                 (1,822)
New Facilities (Operations & Maintenance)    1,025
Miscellaneous                                             1,467
Total Expenditure Solutions                       (27,993)

Total Balancing Solutions                            69,834

*- $6.3M of this is identified as more “vacant position" cuts.

As I read it, $31M of $41M in new funds are one-time solutions.  At least $13M of $28M in spending reductions are likewise one-time events or just deferrals.

NO growth in employment or sales tax revenue yet the city is papering over a $70M budget deficit with one-time fixes?

San Jose does deserve sympathy for dealing with severely declining revenues over the last three years.  On the other hand, it's partly their own fault as they scare away the businesses who might have come in to stabilize their revenue stream.  Businesses know the bill for this un-solved deficit is likely to come due in the next couple years.  They do not want to be the ones to pay it.  They're going ABSJ.

* * * *

*- http://www.mercurynews.com/mld/mercurynews/news/local/9361949.htm

**- http://www.sanjoseca.gov/budget0405/pdf/budgetInBrief.pdf

#- http://www.viewfromsiliconvalley.com/id50.html

##- http://www.viewfromsiliconvalley.com/id67.html, http://www.viewfromsiliconvalley.com/id94.html

###- http://www.caltax.org/member/digest/June2004/6.2004.McCarthy-ProposedE911Tax.03.htm